Japan’s Choices in the Era of Inter-Regime Competition

The RCAST Open Laboratory for Emergence Strategies is independently conducting the research project on "Japan’s Choices in the Era of Inter-Regime Competition: Policy Proposals and Information Sharing based on Long-term Scenario Planning in Search for the Proactive Role in the Emergence of the New International Order” which is supported by the research grants for diplomacy and security of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan starting from the fiscal year 2020.

Today, our world has entered an era of significant change, notably with the rise of authoritarian states like China and Russia, changes within the existing order centered on the United States and the European states, ideological and geopolitical challenges in the Middle East, as well as developments in new and emerging technologies. The Project purports to serve as a platform to work with experts to provide analysis and policy recommendations to promote Japan’s involvement in forming the new international order.

Working groups

Working Group 1 on China and the Challenge of Authoritarian Regimes

With the rise of China and growing influence of Russia, authoritarian states are strengthening their presence, raising concerns over the impact on the international order. This working group aims to examine the ideological background and the characteristics of the regimes, as well as their relations with regional states.

Working Group 2 on Middle Eastern and Islamic Alternatives

The circumstances in the Middle East and the Islamic world has become growingly complex with: the spread of extremism such as the “Islamic State,” tribal, regional, and ethnic conflicts; restructuring of the regional order led by Iran and Turkey; as well as the axis centering on Israel and Saudi Arabia. This working group aims to assess the new order in the Middle East and the Islamic world.

Working Group 3 on the US and Destabilization of the Established Order

The “Trump phenomena” in the United States, the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union, as well as the rise of anti-liberal forces within the European Union are pointing to changes in the international order. This working group aims to examine the ideological underpinnings and divisions within the developed states, and their impact on alliances.

Working Group 4 on the Emerging Issues in Security Studies

The security environment is significantly changing due to the rise of new and emerging technologies such as information communication technologies and artificial intelligence. In addition, there is a growing need to examine the new security issues relating to information and knowledge that go beyond the conventional forms of traditional security concerning war and peace, and non-traditional security issues such as climate change and infectious diseases. This working group aims to look at the new trends and their impact on current security.

Sub-Working Group 1 on Satellite Imagery Analysis Project

This subgroup within the “Working Group 4 on the Emerging Issues in Security Studies” aims to conduct assessments of the international security developments through high-resolution satellite images provided by Maxar Technologies.PublicationsYu KOIZUMI, "How Much More Can Russia Fight? Satellite Image Analysis of Spare Storage Equipment in the Eastern Military District of theRussian Armed Forces," ROLES INSIGHTS, No.6 (2022).

Working Group 5 on Indo-Pacific Transport Security

The Indo-Pacific security environment is experiencing new uncertainties due to geopolitical conflicts, military modernization, crime and terrorism, natural disasters, and pandemics. Such issues not only threaten the security of states and their citizens, but also domestic and international transportation that is vital to trade, supply-chains, and exchange. This study group aims to analyze the impact of regional security risks in the Indo-Pacific on the transport sector, as well as specific transport security issues in the region.

Sub-Working Group 2 on Tabletop Exercises

This subgroup within the “Working Group 5 on Indo-Pacific Transport Security” aims to better understand the Indo-Pacific security developments and their implications through tabletop exercises (TTX).

Sub-Working Group 3 on Japan-U.S. Security Treaty History

This subgroup within the "Working Group 3 on the US and Destabilization of the Established Order" aims to deepen the understanding of the history of the Japan-US alliance by collecting and organizing important documents related to the Japan-US Security Treaty and publishing them in the form of an online database.Photo: President Dwight Eisenhower and Japanese Prime Minister Kishi engage in small talk during their farewell meeting at the White House, June 21, 1957. (AP/aflo)

Activity records

2023.03.31 (金)

ニュース

報告書公開

『ROLES Review Vol.3』（2023.3.31発行）全文公開のお知らせ

2023.03.07 (火)

動画配信

セミナー

公開ウェビナー「進化する日米同盟課題：今後の課題と台湾有事」

2023.02.18 (土)

動画配信

セミナー

国際ウェビナー「『安全保障のトライアングル』—ロシアによるウクライナ侵攻の中東と中国への影響」

2022.11.26 (土)

ニュース

お知らせ

小泉悠専任講師　第8回猪木正道賞特別賞を受賞

2022.11.11 (金)

ニュース

お知らせ

【対外発信】TOBB経済工科大学（トルコ）主催シンポジウムに登壇

2022.11.04 (金)

ニュース

お知らせ

『ROLES Review Vol.2』（2022.9.30発行）を全文公開しました。

2022.10.31 (月)

ニュース

報告書公開

ROLES publishes policy recommendations for the revision of the National Security Strategy

2022.10.28 (金)

ニュース

お知らせ

小泉悠専任講師　第18回中曽根康弘賞優秀賞を受賞

2022.10.25 (火)

ニュース

お知らせ

【海外拠点】テルアビブ大学モシェダヤン中東アフリカ研究センター（イスラエル）と協力し公開講演会・シンポジウムを開催

2022.10.25 (火)

ニュース

報告書公開

【海外拠点】ライヒマン大学（イスラエル）のアバ・エバン国際外交研究所と非公開ラウンドテーブル

2022.07.28 (木)

ニュース

イベント情報

【国際連携】米国のパシフィック・フォーラム・インターナショナルと学術交流覚書（MOU）を締結

2022.06.23 (木)

ニュース

動画配信

Episode 009: Japan’s National Security Strategy and Defense Planning

2022.06.23 (木)

動画配信

トーク

Episode 009: Japan’s National Security Strategy and Defense Planning

2022.05.12 (木)

ニュース

動画配信

Episode 008: Global Security Challenges Today

2022.05.12 (木)

動画配信

トーク

Episode 008: Global Security Challenges Today

2022.04.30 (土)

ニュース

動画配信

"The World of Balance of Threat: The Origins of Alliances Revisited" 「脅威の均衡による世界：『同盟の起源』再考」

2022.04.12 (火)

動画配信

セミナー

Webinar "The World of Balance of Threat: The Origins of Alliances Revisited" with Prof. Stephen M. Walt

2022.04.12 (火)

イベント

講演

スティーブン・ウォルト『同盟の起源』邦訳刊行記念ウェビナー

2022.04.06 (水)

ニュース

動画配信

Israel Month International Webinar #1: Israel and Japan in the New World Order

2022.03.16 (水)

動画配信

シンポジウム

International Conference "The future of Israel-Japan-Gulf Relations - New opportunities in a changing Middle East"

2022.03.16 (水)

イベント

懇談会

国際会議「未来のイスラエル・日本・湾岸協力」

2022.02.17 (木)

動画配信

講演

Israel Month International Webinar #1: Israel and Japan in the New World Order

2022.01.31 (月)

ニュース

動画配信

【動画配信】ROLES Talk Episode 006: Developments in North Korea

2022.01.31 (月)

動画配信

トーク

ROLES Talk Episode 006: Developments in North Korea

2021.12.16 (木)

ニュース

動画配信

【動画配信】ROLES Talk Episode 005: Japan-US Alliance: Prospects and Issues

2021.12.16 (木)

動画配信

トーク

ROLES Talk Episode 005: Japan-US Alliance: Prospects and Issues

2021.12.15 (水)

動画配信

トーク

ROLES Talk Episode 004: North Korea’s Weapons Program and Its Impact on South Korea’s Security

2021.12.15 (水)

ニュース

動画配信

ROLES Talk Episode 004: North Korea’s Weapons Program and Its Impact on South Korea’s Security

2021.11.25 (木)

ニュース

動画配信

ROLES Talk Episode 003: Political Developments in Libya and Their Implications

2021.11.25 (木)

動画配信

トーク

ROLES Talk Episode 003: Political Developments in Libya and Their Implications

2021.11.22 (月)

ニュース

お知らせ

[Publication] ROLES INSIGHTS No.004: “New Infrastructures on Matua Island: Enhancements in Russia’s Anti-Access in the Pacific?” by Yu Koizumi

2021.11.16 (火)

ニュース

お知らせ

[Publication] ROLES INSIGHTS No.003: “The ‘Historical Resolution’ and the Xi Jinping Leadership” by Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

2021.10.31 (日)

ニュース

動画配信

【動画配信】ROLES Talk Episode 002: Taiwan's Security and Defense Planning" (English subtitle)

2021.10.31 (日)

動画配信

トーク

ROLES Talk Episode 002: Taiwan’s Security and Defense Planning (English subtitle)

2021.10.25 (月)

ニュース

お知らせ

[Publication] ROLES INSIGHTS No.002: “Enhancing Civil Aviation Security: The Time is Now” by Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

2021.10.22 (金)

ニュース

動画配信

【動画配信】ROLES Talk Episode 001: Naval Developments in the Indo-Pacific (English subtitle)

2021.10.22 (金)

動画配信

トーク

ROLES Talk Episode 001: Naval Developments in the Indo-Pacific

2021.10.18 (月)

ニュース

お知らせ

[Publication] ROLES INSIGHTS No.001: “Understanding Military Modernization: It’s All about Effects” by Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

2021.08.30 (月)

ニュース

イベント情報

オンライン・国際セミナー（ウェビナー）を開催　イスラエルのシンクタンクとフェイクニュースについて

2021.04.09 (金)

ニュース

お知らせ

【対外発信】池内教授が英語単行書『How Did We End Up Here?』を刊行しました

2020.12.02 (水)

イベント

セミナー

Webinar: East Asia and the Middle East after the U.S. Presidential Election

Members

Satoshi IKEUCHI

Professor

Satoshi Ikeuchi is Professor of the Division of Religion and Global Security at the Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology (RCAST) of the University of Tokyo. He is the founding head of the RCAST Open Laboratory for Emergence Strategies (ROLES).

For the year 2022-2023, he is Senior Visiting Scholar in Residence at the Moshe Dayan Center (MDC) for Middle Eastern and African Studies of Tel Aviv University.

He is a scholar on Islamic political thought and the Middle East politics. As a leading public intellectual in Japan, he has been vigorously publishing on the Middle East and Islamic affairs.

His first publication based on his doctoral studies, Gendai Arabu-no Shakai Shiso: Shumatsuron-to Isramu-shugi (Contemporary Arab Social Thought: Eschatology and Islamism), was published in 2002 and earned Osaragi Jiro Prize for Critical Works. He also earned Suntory Prize for Social Sciences and Humanities in 2009 for his book Islamu Sekai-no Ronjikata (Methods of Discussing Islam).

His book on the Islamic State Isulamu Koku no Shogeki (The Impact of the Islamic State) published in January 2015 was a nation-wide best seller in Japan and awarded Mainichi Publishing Cultural Prize. His recent publication includes Saikusu Piko Kyotei: Hyakunen no Jubaku (Sykes-Picot Agreement: One Hundred Years of Obsession) in 2016 and Shiiaha to Sunniha (Shite and Sunnite) in 2018 both published from Shinchosha. He is the recipient of the 12th Nakasone Yasuhiro Prize in 2016 for his academic works and social engagements.

His collection of literary essays and book reviews Shomotsu not Unmei (The Fate of Books) published in 2006 and earned Mainichi Book Review Award for the year.

He was a visiting professor at the Alexandria University 2007-2008, Japan Scholar chair visiting scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars in 2009 and Visiting Fellow at the Clare Hall, University of Cambridge in 2010.

He specializes in Middle East politics and Arab-Islamic Thought, particularly on global Jihadism and its implications for international security.

JHOU Jyun-Yu

Alumni- Former Project Researcher

Assitant Professer at the National Chengchi University of Taiwan
Project Researcher of RCAST of the University of Tokyo (October 2020-June 2021)

Kazuya SAKAMOTO

Professor Emeritus, Osaka University

Nozomi KANO

Co-operative Research Fellow

Publications

2023.03.29 (水)

コメンタリー

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2023-01: "A Principled Approach to MDA in the Indo-Pacific"

2022.11.17 (木)

論文

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2022-06: "How Much More Can Russia Fight? Satellite Image Analysis of Spare Storage Equipment in the Eastern Military District of the Russian Armed Forces" by Yu Koizumi

2022.09.16 (金)

論文

ROLES REPORT No.20　Masaaki OKAMOTO "Mushrooming Smart Cities in ASEAN Countries and the Risk of Unhealthy Multi-actor Competition"

2022.08.25 (木)

コメンタリー

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2022-05: “Next Step for Japan’s Defense Planning: Enhancing Joint Readiness” by Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

2022.06.18 (土)

コメンタリー

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2022-03: "Emerging Technologies and Post-Pandemic Civil Aviation" by Christopher K. Lamont

2022.06.08 (水)

コメンタリー

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2022-02: “New Developments in North Korea's Strike Capabilities” by Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

2022.01.30 (日)

コメンタリー

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2022-01: “What is Behind North Korea’s Recent Missile Tests?” by Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

2021.12.31 (金)

コメンタリー

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2021-05: “Prospects for Submarine-Launched Cruise Missiles in the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force” by Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

2021.11.22 (月)

コメンタリー

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2021-04: “New Infrastructures on Matua Island: Enhancements in Russia’s Anti-Access in the Pacific?” by Yu Koizumi

2021.11.16 (火)

コメンタリー

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2021-03: “The ‘Historical Resolution’ and the Xi Jinping Leadership” by Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

2021.10.25 (月)

コメンタリー

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2021-02: “Enhancing Civil Aviation Security: The Time is Now” by Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

2021.10.18 (月)

コメンタリー

ROLES INSIGHTS No.2021-01: “Understanding Military Modernization: It’s All about Effects” by Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

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